Tuju’s close association with ODM leadership is well-established. His role as Executive Director of the Azimio Coalition in 2022, backed by former President Uhuru Kenyatta and ODM leader Raila Odinga, placed him firmly within the party’s inner circles. That strategic alignment could serve him well as he contemplates a political comeback.
From 2002 to 2007, Tuju represented Rarieda Constituency in Siaya County, during which he earned a reputation for tangible development projects, including the construction of schools and the expansion of water supply schemes. These efforts bolstered his standing among constituents. However, challenging incumbent Rarieda MP Otiende Amollo, a trusted ally of Raila, seems improbable given Amollo’s entrenched support base. The governorship, currently held by James Orengo, is another option, but Orengo’s influence and ODM’s strong backing make such a challenge risky, despite public criticism of his performance.
The senatorial seat, currently occupied by Oburu Odinga, appears to be a more viable path for Tuju. Oburu will be 81 by the next election, and his likely retirement could create an opening. Even so, Tuju’s success would hinge on securing Raila Odinga’s endorsement, an indispensable factor in an ODM stronghold such as Siaya. Yet, he faces stiff competition from George Midiwo, a former Gem MP and current member of the Commission on Revenue Allocation. As Raila’s cousin, Midiwo enjoys both familial ties and significant grassroots support within ODM.
Tuju’s move to ODM would therefore require careful negotiations with Raila, particularly given the Odinga family’s deep influence over Siaya politics. Raila’s recent call for ODM to field its own presidential candidate in 2027 suggests a renewed emphasis on party unity and loyalty, which could favour candidates like Midiwo. Nevertheless, Tuju’s technocratic background and development record may persuade Raila to see him as a stronger alternative.
Political analyst Herman Manyora argues that Siaya voters are largely development-oriented, a factor that could work in Tuju’s favour if he anchors his campaign on tangible achievements rather than political lineage.
As 2027 approaches, Tuju’s prospects will depend on his ability to navigate ODM’s internal power dynamics and counter Midiwo’s familial advantage. With Raila’s blessing and a campaign centred on Siaya’s development agenda, Tuju could revitalise his political career through the Senate. Ultimately, however, the Odinga family’s preferences and ODM’s broader strategic priorities will shape the outcome, making Tuju’s next move a critical test of his political acumen.
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