A political analyst says that apart from the bad state of the economy and high cost of living, many Kenyans who had voted for President Ruto in 2022 will most likely not vote for him in 2027 due to his many unfulfilled promises and that some of the promises he made in the run-up to the 2022 elections are practically impossible to fulfil
By The Weekly Vision Team
William Ruto may turn out to be the first president in Kenya’s electoral history to serve for only one term, according to a political analyst. Former President, the late Mwai Kibaki, served for ten years, as did Uhuru Kenyatta; however, President Ruto will be humiliated in the 2027 elections, whether the Azimio Coalition fronts ODM leader Raila Odinga or Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka.
The political analyst says that apart from the bad state of the economy and high cost of living, many Kenyans who had voted for President Ruto in 2022 will most likely not vote for him in 2027 due to his many unfulfilled promises. The rate at which the president’s former supporters are rebelling and protesting against him is worrying, and more so in his political backyard of Rift Valley. Just last week, Kapenguria MP Samuel Moroto went public by declaring that he regrets having voted for President Ruto and the UDA party.
A majority of the Kenyan youths are fed up with Kenya Kwanza and the president himself, if the posts on social media platforms like TikTok, X, and Facebook are anything to go by. The president has been mocked on social media platforms over his failed promises, a clear indication that he is most likely to be a one-term president.
There are indications that Kenya’s 2027 elections could go the Liberian way, where President George Weah made history by being a one-term president when he lost to the opposition candidate and former Vice President Joseph Boakai, 78. As to whether Azimio will front Raila Odinga or Kalonzo Musyoka, analysts say it doesn’t matter who the candidate shall be, but Kenyans are warming up to yet another Narc-Kibaki moment of 2002, where Kenyans overwhelmingly voted for Mwai Kibaki.
An analysis of a race between Kalonzo Musyoka and William Ruto paints a one-round win for Kalonzo as long as he has the backing of Raila Odinga and Azimio. It is, however, being claimed that should William Ruto drop his current deputy, Rigathi Gachagua, in 2027 and opt for Prime Cabinet Secretary Musalia Mudavadi, the move could be counterproductive as the Mount Kenya region is most likely to rebel. Analysts say a combination of Mount Kenya, Ukambani, and Nyanza, solidly behind Kalonzo, will be a first-round win against William Ruto. The same scenario applies to Raila Odinga; should Ruto drop Gachagua and the mountain decide to play a game of revenge by supporting a Raila/Kalonzo ticket, then Raila is most likely to win overwhelmingly, with over 60% of the total votes cast.
Options are still open for William Ruto to win the presidency, though, but political commentators say that it is only a miracle that can save him from a devastating defeat in 2027. He must improve the economy and fulfil all the promises he made in 2022 if he is to convince the voters that he needs a second term to finish pending projects. However, some of the promises William Ruto made in the run-up to the 2022 elections are practically impossible to fulfil. That means he will not have the guts to make more promises before fulfilling the previous ones.
Analysts are predicting very challenging campaigns in 2027, not only for Ruto but for all elected leaders, as voters are now well-informed and equipped with lists of promises they made in 2022. The idea of all Kenya Kwanza affiliate parties folding and forming one strong UDA party is also being seen as a plot by the president to kill other affiliate parties to have a strong backing in 2027.
